Possible scenario
Deportation Completed Quietly
55% Chance
Montenegrin authorities complete the expulsion process without further arrests or public evidence disclosures. Moscow protests rhetorically, but the matter remains a contained security and immigration case involving Rybar founder Mikhail Zvinchuk and four Russian associates.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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