Possible scenario
Submissions Move Elsewhere
28% Chance
The cap does not reduce total paper volume; it redirects marginal submissions to other repositories, institutional servers, and conference-hosted systems. This fragments discovery and citation tracking while creating opportunities for competing platforms.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- WLYB+0.3%
- CLVT+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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