Possible scenario
Damage Is Contained
42% Chance
The most likely outcome is that Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign treats the casting issue as an operational mistake rather than a character issue. The ad is recut, the campaign tightens vendor screening, and the Ohio governor race remains a toss-up against Amy Acton.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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