Possible scenario
Probe Stays Procedural
40% Chance
Democrats launch the investigation but keep it focused on document preservation, staff interviews, and public messaging. The near-term market effect is limited because no new evidence directly threatens existing tariff or export-license arrangements.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- AMD-0.3%
- NVDA-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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