Possible scenario
Copycat Disruptions Spread
25% Chance
A less favorable but realistic path is that police patrols reduce risk but do not stop copycat threats or isolated violence. School closures, searches, and arrests extend beyond the initial affected areas, keeping the issue prominent nationally.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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