Possible scenario
Productivity Plateau Deepens
27% Chance
The recent effective-output adjustment proves more than a statistical issue, reflecting weaker well productivity, higher decline rates and fewer tier-one drilling locations. Investors become more convinced that peak shale growth has arrived.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Tickers
- HAL-0.8%
- FANG-0.8%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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