Possible scenario
Efficiency Offsets Declines
18% Chance
Technology, drilling efficiency and inventory management blunt the slowdown. US output growth remains low by historical shale standards, but production surprises enough to challenge the most bearish peak-shale calls.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
Tickers
- CVX+0.5%
- HAL+0.4%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.