Possible scenario
Prolonged Taiz Siege
40% Chance
Ansarallah consolidates the western entrance and maintains a siege rather than immediately storming dense urban districts. The likely near-term outcome is pressure on Taiz city through road closures, artillery positions, and negotiated access constraints.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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