Possible scenario
PLC Counteroffensive
25% Chance
Forces aligned with the Presidential Leadership Council attempt to break the encirclement before Ansarallah can entrench. The operation would likely involve Taiz Axis units, southern-aligned forces, and Saudi or Emirati logistical support, but terrain and Houthi fortifications make success uncertain.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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