Possible scenario
Diplomatic Containment Works
27% Chance
Indonesia’s Environment and Forestry Ministry cooperates with Singapore on hotspot data, concession ownership, and firefighting access. The haze episode remains politically sensitive, but joint monitoring and better weather reduce the risk of a prolonged commercial disruption.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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