Possible scenario
Smooth Price Pass-Through
45% Chance
Most Ohio fuel retailers pass through the suspended state tax quickly, keeping posted gasoline prices roughly 40-50 cents below nearby out-of-state markets. The DeWine administration and the Ohio Department of Taxation focus on compliance monitoring rather than new policy changes.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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