Possible scenario
Irish Political Escalation
25% Chance
The repeated protests keep Gaza and Israel fixtures prominent in Irish domestic politics. Irish ministers, opposition parties, and advocacy groups increase pressure on the FAI and UEFA, but the near-term impact remains diplomatic and reputational rather than financial-market relevant.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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