Possible scenario
Graham Absorbs Blitz
42% Chance
Darline Graham remains the favorite as Trump's endorsement, John Thune's visit, and the Senate GOP's $5 million commitment keep Republican voters aligned. The Democratic ad buy creates noise but does not fundamentally change the race in a strongly Republican-leaning state.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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