Possible scenario
Institutional Containment
42% Chance
Haverford College treats the cancellation as a campus-governance and safety issue rather than a national flashpoint. President Wendy Raymond and the board move quickly to separate the criminal case from student speech rights, limiting broader fallout.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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