Possible scenario
National Ad Strategy
30% Chance
House Democrats treat the Crank spot as a test case and broaden the Epstein-files message into other Republican-held districts. The campaign links GOP incumbents to blocked disclosure votes and Speaker Mike Johnson's handling of the issue.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.