Possible scenario
Targeted Pressure Continues
40% Chance
The most likely path is that the State Department treats the 17 visa revocations as part of a continuing anti-corruption and election-integrity campaign rather than a major economic sanctions escalation. Rubio keeps the focus on individual officials and family members in Venezuela, Nicaragua, and smaller Central American cases.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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