Possible scenario
Demand Downgrade Broadens
27% Chance
The EIA revision proves to be an early sign of a broader consumption slowdown, led by China’s EV adoption, property weakness and softer industrial demand. This path pressures crude, copper and upstream oil equities.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Down
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -1.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.3%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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