Possible scenario
Managed Compromise
22% Chance
The administration and Senate critics settle on a limited, temporary import framework rather than a full reversal. This preserves some fuel-price relief while giving lawmakers sanctions-related oversight.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- VLO-0.5%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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