Possible scenario
Damage Is Contained
30% Chance
Peltola’s team may succeed in limiting the fallout if no additional witnesses or records appear quickly. In that outcome, the legal demand is criticized by press-freedom advocates but the underlying allegation does not develop enough to dominate the race or national coverage.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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