Possible scenario
Settlements Contain Probe
40% Chance
The Justice Department and State Department use the probe to force compliance agreements rather than pursue major criminal cases. Harvard and the other eight universities accept audits, data-sharing requirements and limited civil penalties while preserving most international enrollment for 2027.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- FLYW+0.2%
- DUOL+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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