Possible scenario
Enforcement Escalates Sharply
25% Chance
The administration treats the Harvard-linked probe as evidence of systemic abuse in elite higher education. DOJ, DHS and the State Department pursue tougher remedies, including monitors, admissions restrictions and possible criminal referrals for administrators or recruiters.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -2.7%
- Technology -0.8%
- Business Services -0.5%
Tickers
- FLYW-3.7%
- DUOL-3.2%
- MSFT-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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