Possible scenario
Rapid Reopening
45% Chance
Rainfall eases and Istanbul Governor Davut Gül allows most schools to reopen after one missed day. Municipal crews clear underpasses and arterial roads, keeping disruption largely confined to commuting and neighborhood cleanup.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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