Possible scenario
Municipal Pullback Spreads
38% Chance
Reno's shutdown becomes another data point for city councils already reacting to Boston's cancellation and the first unconstitutional-search ruling. More municipalities pause automatic license plate reader deployments while attorneys review Fourth Amendment exposure, data-retention practices, and interagency sharing.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.6%
- Business Services -0.3%
Tickers
- REKR-3.3%
- MSI-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.