Possible scenario
Haze Stays Manageable
45% Chance
Singapore’s air quality remains unhealthy at times but does not force broad closures or major flight cancellations. Indonesia continues firefighting operations in Sumatra and Kalimantan, while wind conditions keep pollution episodic rather than continuously severe.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.