Possible scenario
Selloff Extends
32% Chance
The correction broadens if investors interpret Broadcom's warning as evidence that AI infrastructure spending has become too speculative. Momentum funds and retail margin accounts add to pressure in Korean semiconductor shares.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -3.6%
- Finance -0.7%
- Industrials
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.8%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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