Possible scenario
Flooding Stays Contained
42% Chance
The most likely outcome is that saturated soils worsen localized flooding, but river crests remain below levels that would cause broad Corn Belt infrastructure failure. Harvest delays persist in Indiana, Illinois, and Ohio, while national corn and soybean supply expectations remain mostly intact.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- +0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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