Possible scenario
Partisan Fight Escalates
25% Chance
The controversy becomes a proxy fight over Jack Smith, the Justice Department, and claims of political bias in Trump-related prosecutions. Republicans keep the allegation alive while Democrats use the exchange to argue that GOP oversight is relying on false claims.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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