Possible scenario
Industry Pact Dominates
22% Chance
Rather than waiting for governments, leading AI labs turn a bilateral safety pact into a de facto industry standard. This gives large, well-capitalized labs a credibility advantage with regulators, enterprise buyers and insurers.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.4%
- Business Services +0.2%
Tickers
- META-0.4%
- MSFT+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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