Possible scenario
Allied Standards Advance
35% Chance
OpenAI and Anthropic succeed in keeping AI safety on the international agenda despite White House resistance. The most likely path is an allied framework built around the EU AI Act, the UK AI Safety Institute, Japan, Canada and South Korea rather than a treaty led by Washington.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- META-1.0%
- MSFT+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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