Possible scenario
Rangebound Consolidation
20% Chance
Bitcoin may simply consolidate after a sharp move, with bond yields stabilizing near current levels. This outcome is plausible because the headline reflects an important but not decisive shift in the rate environment.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Market volatility Up
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.