Possible scenario
Policy Caps Prices
27% Chance
Washington responds to the diesel spike because fuel inflation has become politically sensitive. The administration either moves toward temporary export restrictions or uses softer tools such as waivers and pressure on refiners to lift domestic supply.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.4%
- Consumer Services +0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.3%
- Industrials +0.3%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.