Possible scenario
Recount And Litigation
15% Chance
The early-vote lead is real but Husted's Election Day margin nearly cancels it out, leaving the race within recount range. Because the seat could affect Senate control, legal challenges and county-level ballot disputes would create a short period of political uncertainty.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- Bitcoin Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- US dollar Up
Tickers
- COIN-0.7%
- -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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