Possible scenario
Husted Comeback Wins
31% Chance
The early-vote numbers overstate Brown's final advantage because Republicans vote disproportionately on Election Day. Husted consolidates rural counties, improves in exurban Ohio, and benefits from late outside spending against Brown.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
Tickers
- COIN+1.5%
- +0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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