Prolonged Disruption
−0.2%
The outage proves harder to stabilize, forcing rolling departure caps or regional ground stops beyond the initial clearing process. This is the low-probability, high-operational-cost branch that would matter most for airlines and travel platforms.
What it moves
- Consumer Services−1.2%
- Technology+0.5%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.