Possible scenario
Short-Lived Transport Disruption
45% Chance
Typhoon Dujuan produces heavy rain and wind around Tokyo, but the worst operational impact remains concentrated in aviation. Airlines work through passenger backlogs within one to two days, limiting broader economic damage.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.6%
- Industrials -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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