Possible scenario
Gradual Core Adoption
45% Chance
Tokenized money-market funds and Treasury products become a normal back-office tool for large asset managers, custodians, and banks. Adoption is steady rather than explosive, centered on collateral mobility, intraday settlement, and institutional cash management.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.7%
- Technology +0.4%
Tickers
- BLK+1.2%
- +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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