Possible scenario
Meeting Slips Away
25% Chance
Logistical, political, or negotiating disagreements prevent a meeting during the Asia trip. This would disappoint expectations but would not necessarily end diplomatic contact, especially if both sides avoid public escalation.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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