Possible scenario
Trump Defense Gains Leverage
20% Chance
Trump's legal team argues the approval details support claims of selective or improper prosecution. The argument may create delay or additional evidentiary proceedings, though a sweeping dismissal remains a lower-probability outcome.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Tickers
- DJT+5.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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