Possible scenario
IPO Delayed Into 2027
30% Chance
Anthropic postpones the IPO after public pension funds and some institutional investors demand more time to review safety, spending, and liability disclosures. The deal is not abandoned, but the delay damages confidence in the $2 trillion valuation and in the near-term AI IPO window.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.2%
- Finance -1.0%
- Business Services -0.7%
Tickers
- AMZN-1.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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