Possible scenario
Demand Cools Seasonally
15% Chance
The inventory decline is overtaken by normal post-summer demand softness. Lower road travel and price sensitivity reduce gasoline consumption, easing pressure on retail pump prices.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.7%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Tickers
- VLO-1.4%
- -1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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