Possible scenario
Deal demand weakens
15% Chance
Investor demand proves weaker than expected, forcing SoftBank to resize, delay, or materially rework the offering. This is less likely than a completed placement, but the size of the transaction and SoftBank’s credit trajectory create real execution risk.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.6%
- Finance -0.3%
Tickers
- -1.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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