Formal NPT Withdrawal

its chance, of the story’s futures

−1.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Iran’s leadership converts the Assembly of Experts’ call and parliament’s completed legislation into a formal withdrawal process. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei allows the government to notify NPT parties, while Tehran argues that prior Israeli and US strikes void the bargain underlying the treaty.

What it moves

Energy+1.9%
Finance−1.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Formal NPT Withdrawal

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