Possible scenario
Senate Coalition Frays
24% Chance
The 400-page bill draws criticism from environmental groups, progressive Democrats, and some conservatives skeptical of federal transmission authority. The Senate deal remains formally alive, but procedural votes become harder and passage odds fall.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.5%
- Energy -0.5%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.1%
Tickers
- NEE-0.9%
- PWR-0.8%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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