Possible scenario
Cornyn Comeback
30% Chance
John Cornyn successfully argues that Paxton is too politically risky for a general election. The latest leak gives Cornyn a concrete way to tell GOP voters that Paxton is blaming Trump-world figures while privately alienating conservatives.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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