Possible scenario
Retraction Wave Expands
25% Chance
Editors use the benchmark to reopen peer-review files and request replication packages from authors. The story becomes less about one benchmark and more about systemic contamination in AI literature.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.8%
- Business Services +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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