Possible scenario
Credit Compromise Emerges
15% Chance
Congress, regulators or the administration create a limited transition path for existing credits to reduce disruption for automakers with compliance plans already in place. The compromise softens the blow to Tesla but still shifts long-term policy away from credit monetization.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.3%
- Industrials +0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- GMM.USD+0.5%
- F+0.5%
- STLA+0.4%
- -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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