Possible scenario
Trump Keeps Guilfoyle
21% Chance
Trump decides not to immediately fire Guilfoyle, saying he wants the State Department probe to finish first. The decision preserves her position temporarily but increases scrutiny from Congress and career officials inside the department.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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