Possible scenario
Trump Fires Guilfoyle
42% Chance
President Donald Trump decides the allegations are too politically costly and removes Kimberly Guilfoyle as U.S. ambassador to Greece. The White House frames the move as protecting the integrity of Embassy Athens while the State Department investigation continues.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.