Possible scenario
Prolonged Shutdown
25% Chance
The platform stays offline for several days as Duelbits struggles to verify balances, secure remaining wallets, and communicate with users. The reputational impact becomes severe, especially because crypto-gambling customers are highly sensitive to withdrawal uncertainty.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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