Possible scenario
Restart Holds
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the Greenpeace stoppage remains a short disruption and Woodside keeps construction and commissioning work moving. Police presence, injunction threats, and the project's strategic LNG value reduce the chance of repeated near-term shutdowns.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.3%
Tickers
- WDS+1.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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